Urban Revival
For the new varietal in place-based development, time will tell Thursday, November 15 Stephen Malpezzi Opportunity Zones are the latest in a series of place-based economic development programs. Is this simply “old wine in new bottles?” Or do Opportunity Zones have features that may yield improvements over the spotty performance of previous programs? More...
Macroeconomy
Navigating the economic expansion may get trickier in 2019 Thursday, November 1 Julia Coronado The news flow on the US economy has been very good. The latest GDP report showed growth on track to achieve 3.0% in 2018. Looking ahead, growth looks poised to moderate in 2019 as a number of supports fade. Calibrating a sustainable pace is likely to become harder for the Fed to achieve over the next year. More...
Macroeconomy
Happy but cautious households continue to struggle with wealth growth Thursday, October 18 Julia Coronado Growth in consumer spending is healthy. Yet two conundrums are deepening for forecasters. The first is the death of the wealth effect. The other is why high levels of consumer sentiment aren’t boosting spending. The answer seems to lie in subdued wage growth, which somehow hasn’t dampened consumer satisfaction. More...
Macroeconomy
Or will market momentum cool in its own time? Thursday, October 4 Julia Coronado The Fed continued raising interest rates in September, even as the economy continues to run strong and financial markets flirt with new record highs on a range of asset prices. While the Fed’s dual mandates center on achieving stable inflation and full employment, it has a long and complicated relationship with frothy asset prices. More...
Macroeconomy
Seismic structural shifts challenge the forecasters Thursday, September 20 Julia Coronado While most analysts are pondering the lessons learned from the global financial crisis, we and other researchers have been grappling with seismic structural shifts in the macroeconomy. These changes pose a number of puzzles, and how we square these circles has implications for businesses, households, investors and policymakers. More...
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